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Evid Based Nurs 1:90 doi:10.1136/ebn.1.3.90
  • Clinical prediction guide

A risk assessment score predicted which elderly patients would fall during a hospital stay

Validation of a 0 to 5 point risk assessment score to predict which elderly patients were at risk of falling in the hospital

Validation Score Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (CI) +LR* −LR*
*+LR = likelihood ratio for falls if the test is positive; −LR = likelihood ratio if the test is negative. Both calculated from data in article.
Local ≥2 93% (84% to 98%) 88% (84% to 91%) 7.6 0.08
Local ≥3 69% (57% to 80%) 96% (94% to 98%) 18.6 0.3
Remote ≥2 92% (84% to 97%) 68% (63% to 73%) 2.9 0.1
Remote ≥3 54% (43% to 66%) 88% (84% to 91%) 4.4 0.5

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